Match Replay

Step 14 of 71. Current minute: 17 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	2.67	1.43	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	2.75	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.75	3.5	1.95	1.73	1.28	1.25	1.05	11	1.28	3.75	1.93	1.93	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.8% | EV +21.9% | ROI +29.5% | n=443 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.6% | ROI +11.5% | n=443 | k=1.73

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.9% | ROI +0.8% | n=443 | k=1.92

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.3% | ROI +9.2% | n=443 | k=1.42

AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the Nantes vs Marseille match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. The market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 10% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not confirm dominance by either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter on January 4, 2026, which also stood 0-0 at this stage but ended 0-2. Historical data supports a home win with a 34.5% probability and a strong ROI of 29.5%, and the model indicates a favorable edge of +5.8% and expected value of +21.9% on a home win at odds of 3.75. However, the entry conditions for placing this bet are not yet met based on current match dynamics, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Risk control suggests monitoring the game further before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 17