Match Replay

Step 18 of 71. Current minute: 21 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	2.75	1.43	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	2.75	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	3.5	1.91	1.8	1.28	1.22	1.06	10	1.33	3.4	2.02	1.82	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.8% | EV +23.2% | ROI +34.7% | n=398 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.4% | ROI +17.1% | n=398 | k=1.80

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.2% | ROI +1.8% | n=398 | k=1.82

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.6% | EV -0.9% | ROI +10.1% | n=398 | k=1.42

AI-agent: At 21 minutes in the Nantes vs Marseille match, the market is showing clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 10% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play. Shot data does not strongly favor either side, though Marseille has applied more pressure recently. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which also stood 0-0 at this stage before Marseille won 2-0. Historical data supports a home win with a 33.7% probability and a positive ROI of 34.7%, but the model has not triggered a bet due to current match conditions. The best option is a home win at odds of 4.00 with an edge of +5.8% and expected value of +23.2%, yet this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Other markets like double chance home or under 2.5 goals show less promising edges, so monitoring is advised without mandatory entries.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 21