Match Replay

Step 23 of 71. Current minute: 28 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	2.6	1.38	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	3	1.48	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.75	3.4	2.05	1.67	1.3	1.25	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.15	1.68	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +6.2% | EV +23.4% | ROI +21.2% | n=325 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI +9.7% | n=325 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.3% | ROI +7.8% | n=325 | k=1.38

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -6.0% | ROI +17.2% | n=325 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At 28 minutes in the Nantes vs Marseille match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 13% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play. Shots data do not strongly favor either side, though Marseille has had more influence recently. Both teams are playing below the pace of their last encounter, which ended 0-2 to Marseille. Historical data supports a home win with a 32.3% probability and a positive ROI of 21.2%, but the current match dynamics do not meet the expert entry criteria for a bet. The top markets suggest watching the home win with an edge of +6.2% and EV +23.4%, but no bet is recommended yet, so this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 28