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Match Replay

Step 24 of 71. Current minute: 29 .
France | Ligue 1 | Nantes - Marseille | 02.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 29'   —   Nantes 0:0 Marseille
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 - - - 2.6 1.35 -
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 - - 3.1 1.48 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.75 3.25 2.05 1.67 1.33 1.25 1.08 8 1.4 3 2.25 1.62 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.8% | EV +21.8% | ROI +23.0% | n=311 | k=3.75
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.4% | ROI +10.9% | n=311 | k=1.67
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -5.0% | ROI +0.8% | n=311 | k=1.62
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -6.1% | ROI +11.9% | n=311 | k=3.00
AI-agent: At 29 minutes into the Nantes vs Marseille match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with the odds for a draw dropping 17% from pre-match levels. Shot data does not strongly favor either side, though Marseille has applied more pressure recently. The scoreline of 0-0 reflects the balanced play, with both teams playing at a slower pace compared to their previous meeting on January 4, 2026, which ended 0-2. Historical data supports a home win with a 32.8% probability and a positive ROI of 23%, but the current model’s entry conditions are not met yet despite a promising edge of +5.8% and expected value of +21.8%. The top markets suggest watching the home win and double chance 1X options, while under 2.5 and under 1.5 goals are not recommended. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet opportunity, emphasizing cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 29