Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.48	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.6	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	3.75	1.91	1.8	1.25	1.25	1.03	15	1.17	5	1.57	2.38	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.9% | EV +21.3% | ROI +26.2% | n=682 | k=3.60

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.6% | EV +4.6% | ROI +14.0% | n=682 | k=1.80

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.7% | ROI +0.2% | n=682 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.5% | ROI -1.4% | n=682 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 4 minutes into the Nantes vs Marseille match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, and shot data does not favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting on January 4, 2026, which ended 0-2. Historical data from 682 similar matches shows a 35% probability and a positive ROI of 26.2% for a home win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.85. The model suggests a home win bet with an edge of +5.9% and expected value of +21.3%, but the entry conditions are not yet met given the current score, tempo, and match stats. Top-4 markets recommend watching the home win and double chance (1X) options, while under 3.5 and 2.5 goals are not advised. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet opportunity, so caution and risk control are advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 4