Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	2.38	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	2.5	1.55	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.5	3	2.25	1.57	1.36	1.28	1.12	6	1.6	2.3	3	1.4	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.9% | EV +25.3% | ROI +22.5% | n=216 | k=1.50

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.8% | EV +20.4% | ROI +16.7% | n=216 | k=3.50

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.7% | ROI +9.8% | n=216 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -7.0% | ROI +12.9% | n=216 | k=2.30

AI-agent: At 42 minutes, the match between Nantes and Marseille remains goalless with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 23% from pre-match levels, reflecting a close game but with Nantes showing more shot activity and recent dominance. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where Marseille led 1-0 at this stage and won 2-0. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Nantes with an 84.8% success rate and a 22.5% ROI over 216 matches. The model identifies a +1 handicap on Nantes as the best option with a 16.9% edge and 25.3% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to current score and match tempo. The top markets suggest watching the +1 handicap, home win, and double chance 1X, while avoiding under 1.5 goals. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer entry signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 42