Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	-	-	2.38	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	2.5	1.55	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	2.88	2.25	1.57	1.36	1.25	1.14	5.5	1.7	2.1	3.2	1.36	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.7% | EV +26.6% | ROI +25.0% | n=198 | k=1.50

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.5% | EV +19.9% | ROI +16.4% | n=198 | k=3.60

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.9% | ROI +13.5% | n=198 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -7.3% | ROI +10.3% | n=198 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the score remains 0-0 between Nantes and Marseille, with the market showing strong support for a draw as the odds have dropped 26% from pre-match levels. Nantes are slightly more active in shots and pressure, though both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their previous encounter. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for the home team with an 86.7% win rate and a 25% ROI, indicating value. The model favors the +1 handicap for Nantes with a 17.7% edge and 26.6% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Monitoring is advised, especially considering the balanced tempo and scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 45