Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	3	7	5	-	-	2.67	2.75	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	5	1	4	3	-	-	2.5	1.43	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.5	5	1.17	1.28	2	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.93	1.93	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.1% | EV +37.7% | ROI +25.1% | n=187 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.7% | ROI NA | n=187 | k=1.45

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.9% | ROI -1.0% | n=187 | k=1.92

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -4.6% | ROI -13.8% | n=187 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At 48 minutes, Nantes leads Marseille 1-0 in a closely contested Ligue 1 match. Market pressure favors Nantes, with odds dropping 55% from pre-match levels, reflecting their recent dominance in shots and tempo despite the balanced scoreline. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Nantes with an 87% win rate and a strong ROI of 25.1%, indicating value. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match conditions not fully meeting entry criteria. Top-4 markets suggest watching the +1 handicap on Nantes as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a firm bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 48