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Match Replay

Step 57 of 71. Current minute: 76 .
France | Ligue 1 | Nantes - Marseille | 02.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 76'   —   Nantes 3:0 Marseille
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 14 5 9 7 - 1.7 1.3 2.75 1.5 -
Away 0 0 0 9 4 5 5 - - 2.5 1.43 3.45 2.1
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.01 26 67 1 1.01 26 - - - - - - 1.6 2.3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.9% | EV +38.8% | ROI +50.0% | n=20 | k=1.50
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.1% | EV +3.6% | ROI +61.5% | n=20 | k=1.70
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.6% | EV +8.6% | ROI +28.5% | n=20 | k=1.30
4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.1% | ROI -8.0% | n=20 | k=2.30
AI-agent: At the 76th minute with Nantes leading 3-0, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 73% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The match has been fairly balanced, with Nantes showing more activity in shots, though no sustained pressure is evident recently. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully support the bet, as the sample size is below the minimum threshold. The model identifies a promising opportunity on Nantes with a +1 handicap at 1.50 odds, showing a positive edge and expected value, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not met yet. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, and caution is advised when considering any stake here.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 76