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France | Ligue 1 | Nantes - Marseille | 02.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Nantes 3:0 Marseille
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 16 5 11 7 - 1.7 1.3 2.75 1.5 -
Away 0 0 0 15 7 8 7 - - 2.5 1.43 3.45 2.1
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.8 3.9 1.9 1.8 1.22 1.22 - - - - - - 2.38 1.57
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | HOME | Edge +62.1% | EV +236.1% | ROI +280.0% | n=17 | k=3.80
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.5% | EV +91.3% | ROI -100.0% | n=17 | k=2.10
3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +37.0% | EV +66.7% | ROI +80.0% | n=17 | k=1.80
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.5% | EV +95.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=17 | k=3.45
AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Nantes leads Marseille 3-0 in Ligue 1. Despite the clear score advantage, the market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting some uncertainty. Shots data do not confirm dominance by either side, and Marseille has applied pressure in the final phase, though Nantes' lead holds. Historical data on similar situations is limited and weak, with a small sample size preventing a reliable conclusion. The model favors a Nantes win with a strong edge and expected value, but the betting window for this market closed after the 86th minute. Current top markets suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity, and risk control is advised given the match context.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 90