Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	2.67	1.45	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.67	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	3.6	1.95	1.73	1.25	1.25	1.04	13	1.22	4.33	1.67	2.2	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.9% | EV +21.1% | ROI +24.2% | n=548 | k=3.60

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.2% | EV +2.1% | ROI +10.3% | n=548 | k=1.73

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.1% | ROI +1.3% | n=548 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.3% | ROI +5.2% | n=548 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At 9 minutes into the Nantes vs Marseille match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without strong shifts from pre-match odds, and shot data does not clearly favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting on January 4, 2026, which ended 0-2. Historical data from 548 similar matches shows a 34.5% advantage for the home team with a positive ROI of 24.2%, supporting a home win at odds of 3.60 with an edge of +5.9% and expected value of +21.1%. However, the current in-game conditions do not yet meet the expert entry criteria, so no bet is advised now. This is a watch situation with potential value, but risk control suggests waiting for clearer confirmation before placing a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 9