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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	5	11	7	-	1.7	1.3	2.75	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	15	7	8	7	-	-	2.5	1.43	3.45	2.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.8	3.9	1.9	1.8	1.22	1.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +62.1% | EV +236.1% | ROI +280.0% | n=17 | k=3.80

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.5% | EV +91.3% | ROI -100.0% | n=17 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +37.0% | EV +66.7% | ROI +80.0% | n=17 | k=1.80

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.5% | EV +95.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=17 | k=3.45

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Nantes leads Marseille 3-0 in this Ligue 1 match. The market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels given the current score. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, though Marseille has applied more pressure recently. Historically, similar situations strongly favored the home team with a 100% win rate in 17 matches, but the sample size is below the preferred threshold, making the historical edge less reliable. The model indicates a strong edge and expected value for a Nantes win at odds of 3.80, but the betting window closed after the 86th minute. The top-4 markets suggest watching the home win and related bets due to positive expected value and edge, but this is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet now, considering risk control and the late stage of the match.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387981 | minute: 90