Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	2.05	2.5	1.4	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.5	1.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +36.8% | EV +92.1% | ROI +79.8% | n=114 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +20.0% | EV +41.1% | ROI +29.5% | n=114 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.4% | EV +10.2% | ROI +36.8% | n=114 | k=3.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -24.4% | EV -43.9% | ROI -33.7% | n=114 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 33 minutes, Paris FC leads Brest 2-0, with the market strongly favoring the home side as their odds have dropped 44% from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance in shots and overall pressure. Historical data supports a handicap bet on Paris FC -1, showing an 80.9% win rate and a high ROI of nearly 80%, confirming a solid edge and expected value. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge of +36.8% and EV of +92.1%, though no new bet is opened since the position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back Paris FC on AH -1 with risk control in place, while other markets like AH -1.5 and under 3.5 goals are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than mandatory entries.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387983 | minute: 33