Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	3	5	5	-	2.05	2.5	1.4	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.5	1.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +37.0% | EV +92.4% | ROI +87.1% | n=140 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +20.5% | EV +42.0% | ROI +34.7% | n=140 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.7% | EV +6.8% | ROI +30.4% | n=140 | k=2.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -24.8% | EV -44.7% | ROI -38.3% | n=140 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 38 minutes, Paris FC leads Brest 2-0, confirming their pre-match favoritism with strong shot statistics. The market strongly favors the home side, with the handicap -1 showing a significant edge of +37% and an expected value above +90%, supported by a robust historical win rate of 85%. Although no new bet is opened due to existing portfolio coverage, the best value lies in backing Paris FC -1, with careful risk management advised. Other markets are less attractive, making this a clear monitoring and selective betting opportunity rather than a broad entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387983 | minute: 38