Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	3	5	5	-	2.05	2.5	1.4	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.5	1.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.55	2.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +36.9% | EV +92.2% | ROI +89.0% | n=145 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +20.2% | EV +41.5% | ROI +35.7% | n=145 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.7% | EV +6.4% | ROI +19.6% | n=145 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -24.6% | EV -44.2% | ROI -39.2% | n=145 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 40 minutes into the Paris FC vs Brest match, Paris FC leads 2-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels reflecting their advantage. Shot statistics confirm Paris FC's dominance, consistent with the pre-match favorite status, although recent pressure has been less one-sided. Historical data for similar situations supports a handicap bet on Paris FC -1 with an 86.5% win probability and strong ROI of 89%. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge of +36.9% and expected value over 90%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already active or covered. The top recommendation is to back Paris FC -1 at odds of 2.50, controlling risk accordingly. Other markets suggest monitoring but do not justify new bets at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387983 | minute: 40