Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	3	9	6	-	2.05	2.5	1.4	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	0	5	1	-	-	-	2.85	1.5	1.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	17	51	1	1.02	17	-	-	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.9% | EV +99.6% | ROI +102.2% | n=161 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +25.5% | EV +52.3% | ROI +49.0% | n=161 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +2.0% | ROI +9.8% | n=161 | k=2.85

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.4% | ROI +8.7% | n=161 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 64 minutes with Paris FC leading 2-0 against Brest, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 46% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Paris FC confirms their dominance in shots, although recent pressure has been balanced. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Paris FC with a 91.4% win rate and over 100% ROI, making this a valuable edge with an expected value near +100%. The model confirms this bet with a 2.50 odds and a 39.9% edge, but no new position is opened as it is already covered in the portfolio. The top recommendation is to bet on Paris FC -1, but with prudent risk management given the current game state and market dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387983 | minute: 64