Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	2.25	1.75	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	2.05	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	4.75	6	1.12	1.17	2.5	-	-	-	-	1.04	13	1.25	4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +16.1% | EV +96.5% | ROI +200.0% | n=8 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +20.4% | EV +51.0% | ROI +56.2% | n=8 | k=2.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.6% | EV +23.8% | ROI +53.1% | n=8 | k=2.05

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.6% | EV +31.3% | ROI -40.6% | n=8 | k=4.75

AI-agent: At 18 minutes into the Paris SG vs Lorient match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. Market activity shows increased interest in a draw, with odds dropping 21% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current balanced scoreline. Shot statistics do not clearly favor either side, and recent play lacks sustained pressure from either team. Historically, similar scenarios suggest a 62.5% chance for a draw or away win, but the sample size is too small for a strong conclusion. The model favors an away double chance (X2) with a 20.4% edge and 51.0% expected value, but entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this remains a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Caution is advised given the balanced tempo and limited historical data.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 18