Match Replay

Step 12 of 64. Current minute: 22 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	2.3	1.77	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	2.1	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.44	4.5	6	1.12	1.18	2.62	-	-	-	-	1.05	11	1.28	3.75

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +15.1% | EV +90.6% | ROI +71.4% | n=14 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +22.0% | EV +57.7% | ROI +68.8% | n=14 | k=2.62

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.4% | EV +28.2% | ROI +49.3% | n=14 | k=2.10

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.1% | EV +27.4% | ROI +60.7% | n=14 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the Paris SG vs Lorient match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. The market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Neither side shows clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure, and the game tempo is balanced. Historical data for similar situations suggests a 64.3% chance for a draw or away win (X2), but the sample size is limited, making the historical check weak. The model favors X2 with a strong edge and expected value, yet the entry criteria based on current match dynamics are not met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 markets recommend watching this scenario rather than placing a bet, emphasizing risk control and monitoring for better confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 22