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Match Replay

Step 17 of 64. Current minute: 29 .
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France | Ligue 1 | Paris SG - Lorient | 02.05.2026 | 20:00:00 | LIVE 29'   —   Paris SG 1:1 Lorient
← Back Step 17 of 64 Forward → Start Finish Archive
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 3 1 2 4 - 2.42 1.9 - - -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 - - - - 1.95 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.5 4 6.5 1.11 1.22 2.5 - - - - 1.07 9 1.36 3.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +21.4% | EV +53.6% | ROI +45.8% | n=12 | k=2.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.5% | EV +22.4% | ROI +30.4% | n=12 | k=1.95
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.0% | EV +27.9% | ROI -33.3% | n=12 | k=4.00
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.1% | ROI +14.4% | n=12 | k=1.52
AI-agent: At 29 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Paris SG and Lorient, the market shows increased support for a draw, with odds dropping 33% from pre-match levels. The recent phase favors the home side, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. Historical data for similar situations suggests a slight edge for a draw or away win (X2) with a 58.3% probability and positive ROI, though the sample size is limited and the historical check is weak. The model identifies X2 as the best option with a 21.4% edge and 53.6% expected value, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control recommended if considering a position.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 29