Match Replay

Step 21 of 64. Current minute: 35 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	1	3	5	-	2.5	1.93	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	4	6.5	1.11	1.22	2.5	-	-	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +21.4% | EV +53.6% | ROI +61.8% | n=17 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.9% | EV +22.9% | ROI +42.2% | n=17 | k=1.92

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.0% | EV +27.9% | ROI +17.6% | n=17 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.1% | ROI +23.5% | n=17 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 35 minutes with the score tied 1-1, the market increasingly favors a draw, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, though the home team is applying more pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations suggests a 64.7% chance of a draw or away win with a positive ROI, but the sample size is too small to confirm. The model identifies value in betting on X2 (draw or Lorient win) at 2.50 odds with a strong edge and expected value, yet entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control recommended given the uncertain tempo and balanced scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 35