Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	1	3	5	-	2.6	1.95	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	1.9	1.48

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	4	7	1.1	1.22	2.5	-	-	-	-	1.1	7	1.48	2.6

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +20.6% | EV +51.5% | ROI +40.6% | n=16 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.8% | EV +22.4% | ROI +25.6% | n=16 | k=1.90

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.7% | EV +30.7% | ROI +0.0% | n=16 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.8% | ROI -18.8% | n=16 | k=2.60

AI-agent: At 37 minutes, the score is tied 1-1 between Paris SG and Lorient, reflecting a balanced game so far. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 33% from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support one side. Recent play shows Paris SG pressing more, and the match tempo aligns with their last encounter, which also ended 1-1. Historical data for similar situations suggests a slight edge for a draw or away win (X2) with a 56.2% success rate and a fair odds estimate of 1.78, but the sample size is too small for a strong confirmation. The model identifies X2 as the best option with a 20.6% edge and 51.5% expected value, yet entry conditions based on current score and match flow are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring scenario where cautious observation is recommended rather than a mandatory stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 37