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Match Replay

Step 26 of 64. Current minute: 43 .
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France | Ligue 1 | Paris SG - Lorient | 02.05.2026 | 20:00:00 | LIVE 43'   —   Paris SG 1:1 Lorient
← Back Step 26 of 64 Forward → Start Finish Archive
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 7 - 1.95 2.05 - - -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 - - - - 1.75 1.9
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.57 3.5 7.5 1.08 1.28 2.25 - - - - 1.14 5.5 1.67 2.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +18.3% | EV +41.2% | ROI +12.5% | n=16 | k=2.25
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.4% | EV +36.8% | ROI +42.5% | n=16 | k=1.90
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.0% | EV +21.0% | ROI +12.5% | n=16 | k=1.75
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +8.4% | EV +29.3% | ROI -12.5% | n=16 | k=3.50
AI-agent: At 43 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Paris SG and Lorient, the market is favoring a draw, reflected by a 42% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The home side has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the recent phase, aligning with a similar past encounter that ended 1-1. Historical data on away handicap +1.5 shows a 75% success rate but the sample size is too small for a reliable confirmation. The model signals a potential bet on AH_AWAY+1.5 with a positive edge and expected value, yet the entry rule is not confirmed due to weak historical validation. Top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring situation with decent expected returns but advising caution and risk control.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 43