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Match Replay

Step 51 of 64. Current minute: 76 .
France | Ligue 1 | Paris SG - Lorient | 02.05.2026 | 20:00:00 | LIVE 76'   —   Paris SG 2:1 Lorient
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 15 5 10 10 - 2.5 1.24 - - -
Away 1 0 0 3 1 2 2 - - - - 3.9 1.5
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.07 8.5 51 1 1.07 8.5 - - - - - - 1.82 2.02
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.8% | EV +88.8% | ROI -1.5% | n=13 | k=3.90
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.7% | ROI -19.2% | n=13 | k=1.50
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.2% | ROI -37.7% | n=13 | k=2.02
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -9.1% | EV -22.8% | ROI +15.4% | n=13 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 76th minute in the Paris SG vs Lorient match, the score is 2-1 with no red cards. The market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 72% from pre-match levels given the current score. Paris SG has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the final phase, reflecting the match flow well. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm the model's suggested bet on AH_AWAY+1.5, despite a slight positive edge and expected value. The top-4 markets recommend watching AH_AWAY+1 and AH_AWAY+1.5 but advise against betting now due to insufficient historical confirmation and risk considerations. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 76