Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	15	5	10	10	-	1.95	1.52	1.14	-	-
Away	2	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	-	-	5.75	2.42	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	1.91	12	1.04	1.8	1.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +46.3% | EV +112.3% | ROI -1.5% | n=13 | k=2.42

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +36.6% | EV +69.5% | ROI -19.2% | n=13 | k=1.90

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.0% | EV +22.6% | ROI +30.8% | n=13 | k=1.61

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -16.9% | EV -30.4% | ROI -1.1% | n=13 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 76 minutes with the score tied 2-2 between Paris SG and Lorient, the market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 72% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. The match has been balanced, though Paris SG has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the final phase. Both teams are playing at a slower tempo compared to their last meeting, which ended 1-1 after Lorient led 1-0 at this stage. Historical data on similar situations is limited and does not confirm the model’s suggested bet on Lorient +1.5 handicap despite a positive edge and expected value. The top-4 market signals recommend watching the away handicap +1 and +1.5 options due to decent edges but advise caution as the sample size is small and ROI is negative. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a clear betting opportunity, so risk control is essential if choosing to engage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 76