Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	1.55	1.52	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	2.42	2.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	7.5	12	1.04	1.08	4.5	-	-	1.03	15	1.2	4.5	1.61	2.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +18.0% | EV +81.1% | ROI +60.7% | n=14 | k=4.50

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.4% | ROI +8.0% | n=14 | k=2.42

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.4% | ROI +35.7% | n=14 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -3.2% | ROI -50.7% | n=14 | k=2.30

AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the match, Paris SG leads Lorient 1-0. The market shows increased support for a draw, with odds dropping 21% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. The game has been fairly balanced, with Paris SG slightly more active in shots, but no sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data for similar situations is limited and weak, showing a 35.7% chance for a draw or away win with positive ROI, but the sample size is too small for confirmation. The model favors a draw or Lorient win (X2) with an 18% edge and 81.1% expected value, but the entry conditions are not met yet, so no bet is advised. This is a monitoring situation, not a mandatory entry, and risk control should be maintained.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 11