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France | Ligue 1 | Paris SG - Lorient | 02.05.2026 | 20:00:00 | LIVE 26'   —   Paris SG 1:1 Lorient
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 3 - 2.42 1.93 - - -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - - - 1.93 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.53 4.33 6 1.12 1.2 2.38 - - - - 1.06 10 1.33 3.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +15.5% | EV +93.0% | ROI +114.3% | n=14 | k=6.00
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +19.8% | EV +47.1% | ROI +35.7% | n=14 | k=2.38
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.7% | EV +20.7% | ROI +24.3% | n=14 | k=1.92
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.7% | EV +29.0% | ROI -7.1% | n=14 | k=4.33
AI-agent: At the 26th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Paris SG and Lorient, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 28% from pre-match levels. Neither side shows clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure, reflecting the balanced gameplay. Historical data on similar situations suggests a slight edge for a draw or away win (X2) with a 57.1% probability and a fair odds estimate of 1.75, though the sample size is limited and the historical check is weak. The model identifies X2 as the best option with a 19.8% edge and 47.1% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so no bet is advised now. The top markets also recommend watching rather than betting, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 26