Home Demo Matches Registration Help FAQ
France | Ligue 1 | Paris SG - Lorient | 02.05.2026 | 20:00:00 | LIVE 30'   —   Paris SG 1:1 Lorient
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 3 1 2 4 - 2.5 1.95 - - -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 - - - - 1.9 1.5
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.53 4 6.5 1.11 1.22 2.38 - - - - 1.08 8 1.4 3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +19.8% | EV +47.1% | ROI +38.5% | n=12 | k=2.38
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.9% | EV +20.7% | ROI +27.5% | n=12 | k=1.90
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.2% | EV +29.0% | ROI -33.3% | n=12 | k=4.00
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.2% | EV -3.3% | ROI +12.5% | n=12 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the Paris SG vs Lorient match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 33% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Shot data does not clearly support either side, though PSG has applied more pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations suggests a 58.3% chance for a draw or away win, but the sample size is too small to confirm. The model identifies value in betting on X2 (draw or Lorient win) with an edge of +19.8% and expected value of +47.1%, but entry conditions are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets recommend monitoring X2 and Asian Handicap +1 for the away team, indicating a watch status rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 30