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France | Ligue 1 | Paris SG - Lorient | 02.05.2026 | 20:00:00 | LIVE 66'   —   Paris SG 2:1 Lorient
← Back Step 44 of 64 Forward → Start Finish Archive
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 14 5 9 10 - 2.05 1.2 - - -
Away 1 0 0 3 1 2 2 - - - - 4.4 1.8
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.08 8.5 41 1 1.07 8 - - - - - - 1.45 2.67
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.0% | EV +9.0% | ROI +8.0% | n=10 | k=1.80
2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -3.8% | ROI -19.8% | n=10 | k=2.67
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -9.3% | EV -19.1% | ROI -18.0% | n=10 | k=2.05
AI-agent: At 66 minutes with Paris SG leading 2-1 against Lorient, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 21% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The match has been closely contested, but Paris SG has been more active in shots and is currently applying pressure. Historical data on similar situations suggests a moderate edge for an away handicap +1.5 bet, with a 60% win rate and positive ROI, but the sample size is too small for a reliable confirmation. The model identifies a potential value bet on AH_AWAY+1.5 with a 5% edge and 9% expected value, yet the entry rule is not confirmed due to weak historical validation. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, and risk control should be prioritized if considering this option.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 66