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France | Ligue 1 | Paris SG - Lorient | 02.05.2026 | 20:00:00 | LIVE 87'   —   Paris SG 2:2 Lorient
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 18 6 12 10 - 1.95 1.52 1.2 - -
Away 2 0 0 4 2 2 2 - - - 4.4 2.42 1.9
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.1 1.5 13 1.04 2.5 1.33 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +47.7% | EV +115.8% | ROI +142.5% | n=8 | k=2.42
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +36.9% | EV +70.2% | ROI +90.0% | n=8 | k=1.90
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.3% | EV +12.3% | ROI +33.3% | n=8 | k=1.33
4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -11.9% | EV -29.7% | ROI -68.8% | n=8 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 87th minute with the score tied at 2-2, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 74% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The home side has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the final stages, consistent with previous meetings where the game was close. Historical data on similar handicap bets for the away team is limited and not fully reliable due to a small sample size. The model identifies a positive edge on the away +1 handicap with an expected value above 100%, but the betting window closed after the 86th minute, so no current entry is advised. Overall, this is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and risk should be managed carefully given the match dynamics and limited historical confirmation.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387984 | minute: 87