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Match Replay

Step 18 of 63. Current minute: 26 .
France | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg - Toulouse | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 26'   —   Strasbourg 1:0 Toulouse
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 - - 2.5 2.25 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 2 1 1 - - - 1.62 1.5 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 3.6 4.5 1.18 1.25 2 - - 1.08 8 1.5 2.62 2.38 1.57
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.6% | EV +2.6% | ROI -0.1% | n=1435 | k=1.57
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.0% | ROI +2.3% | n=1435 | k=2.62
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.0% | ROI NA | n=1435 | k=1.50
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -6.0% | EV -14.9% | ROI NA | n=1435 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At 26 minutes into the Strasbourg vs Toulouse match, Strasbourg leads 1-0. The market is favoring the home side, with odds dropping by 40% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Although Toulouse has been more active in shots and overall play, there is no sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data suggests a strong likelihood of under 3.5 goals, but the model's confidence is below the threshold for a firm bet. The best value bet is under 3.5 goals with a modest edge and expected value, yet it remains a watch situation rather than a clear entry. Risk management advises monitoring the game further before committing to a stake.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 26