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Match Replay

Step 24 of 63. Current minute: 37 .
France | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg - Toulouse | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 37'   —   Strasbourg 1:0 Toulouse
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 3 1 2 4 - - 2.5 2.25 - -
Away 0 0 0 4 2 2 1 - - - 1.62 1.5 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 3.6 5 1.17 1.25 2 - - 1.12 6 1.62 2.25 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +1.1% | ROI +9.5% | n=495 | k=2.25
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +1.8% | ROI +3.5% | n=495 | k=1.40
3) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +4.0% | ROI -6.7% | n=495 | k=6.00
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.7% | EV -2.5% | ROI -10.0% | n=495 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At 37 minutes in the Strasbourg vs Toulouse match, Strasbourg leads 1-0 with no red cards. The market increasingly favors the home side, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Despite Toulouse being more active in shots, the recent phase shows Strasbourg applying pressure. Historical data supports betting under 3.5 goals with a 73.9% win rate and positive ROI, but the model's edge at +1.3% is below the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 2.5 or 3.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised, as the model sees potential but not a confirmed opportunity yet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 37