Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	3	2	5	-	-	2.42	2.3	-	-
Away	1	0	0	9	5	4	2	-	-	-	1.6	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	2.6	2.5	1.5	1.44	1.25	-	-	-	-	1.25	4	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.7% | EV +42.2% | ROI +27.1% | n=315 | k=1.52

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.0% | EV +18.1% | ROI +15.4% | n=315 | k=3.60

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +4.0% | ROI +16.2% | n=315 | k=1.73

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +4.4% | ROI +13.0% | n=315 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At the 50th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 26% from pre-match levels. Toulouse shows more attacking pressure and shots, reflecting their dominance in recent play despite the equal scoreline. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Toulouse with strong ROI and a high win rate, confirming value in this market. However, the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics and entry conditions not being fully met. This is a monitoring phase where the best candidate is the +1 handicap on Toulouse, but caution is advised before placing a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 50