Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	4	2	5	-	-	2.42	2.25	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	5	7	3	-	-	-	1.68	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	1.91	3.25	1.33	1.8	1.18	-	-	-	-	1.67	2.2	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.8% | EV +45.4% | ROI +38.3% | n=376 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.4% | ROI +23.5% | n=376 | k=2.20

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +4.6% | EV +20.8% | ROI -10.2% | n=376 | k=4.50

4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.1% | ROI +7.4% | n=376 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At 72 minutes with the score tied at 1-1 between Strasbourg and Toulouse, the market strongly supports a draw, reflected by a 45% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Toulouse has been more active in shots, though neither side is maintaining sustained pressure recently. Historical data favors the away handicap +1 with a 95.6% win rate and a solid 38.3% ROI over 376 matches, confirming a reliable edge. The model suggests a bet on AH_AWAY+1 with a 29.8% edge and 45.4% expected value, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not yet met, so this remains a watch situation. Top-4 markets align with monitoring rather than mandatory betting, emphasizing risk control in this balanced game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 72