Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	4	2	5	-	-	2.42	2.3	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	5	7	3	-	-	-	1.65	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.75	1.8	3.4	1.3	1.91	1.17	-	-	-	-	1.8	2.05	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.9% | EV +45.6% | ROI +40.7% | n=372 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.1% | ROI +24.0% | n=372 | k=2.05

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +4.3% | EV +20.5% | ROI -19.6% | n=372 | k=4.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -2.3% | EV -2.9% | ROI +6.2% | n=372 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 75th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 49% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Toulouse shows more activity in shots and overall play, though neither side maintains sustained pressure recently. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1, with a 96.6% win rate and 40.7% ROI, but the model's entry conditions are not yet met given the current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the away handicap +1 and under 2.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity. Caution is advised as the situation evolves without clear dominance from either team.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 75