Match Replay

Step 54 of 63. Current minute: 83 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	4	3	8	-	-	2.42	1.98	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	5	7	3	-	-	-	1.88	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.75	1.61	4.5	1.18	2.2	1.17	-	-	-	-	2.15	1.73	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.9% | EV +45.6% | ROI +44.9% | n=351 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.9% | ROI +29.3% | n=351 | k=1.73

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +4.5% | EV +21.2% | ROI -44.5% | n=351 | k=4.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.5% | ROI -46.1% | n=351 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market shows increased confidence in Toulouse, reflected by a 49% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Toulouse has been more active in shots despite the hosts pressing in the final phase. Historical data strongly supports an away handicap +1 bet with a 98.4% win rate and a 44.9% ROI over 351 matches. The model indicates a +29.9% edge and +45.6% expected value for this bet at odds of 1.52. However, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not fully met, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Other top markets also suggest monitoring without mandatory entries, emphasizing risk control in this close game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 83