Match Replay

Step 57 of 63. Current minute: 89 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	4	3	8	-	-	2.42	2.25	1.8	1.15
Away	2	0	0	13	6	7	3	-	5.5	2.05	1.62	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	5.5	1.17	5	1.14	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.55	1.52

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.6% | EV +46.6% | ROI +52.2% | n=201 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.2% | EV +52.5% | ROI +0.5% | n=201 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.0% | ROI +26.7% | n=201 | k=1.52

4) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +6.2% | EV +31.0% | ROI -50.2% | n=201 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 89th minute, Toulouse leads Strasbourg 2-1 in a closely contested Ligue 1 match. Market pressure favors Toulouse with a significant drop in odds compared to pre-match, reflecting their shot dominance despite no sustained pressure in the final minutes. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Toulouse with a 100% win rate in 201 similar cases and a 52.2% ROI, indicating a solid edge. However, the trader notes that the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute, so no new bets are advised now. The top markets suggest watching the +1 handicap for Toulouse and Strasbourg, under 3.5 goals, and double chance 1X, all showing positive expected value but no mandatory bet at this stage. This is a monitoring situation with a clear model edge but no current entry opportunity, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 89