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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	-	2.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	-	-	1.57	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.4	3.1	2.25	1.57	1.33	1.3	1.11	6.5	1.5	2.5	2.5	1.5	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +5.2% | EV +17.7% | ROI +9.2% | n=1435 | k=3.40

2) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI -3.1% | n=1435 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.7% | ROI +4.4% | n=1435 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.0% | ROI +2.3% | n=1435 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 26 minutes in a 0-0 Ligue 1 match between Strasbourg and Toulouse, the market is favoring the home side with odds dropping by 40% from pre-match levels. Toulouse has been more active in shots, but no sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data from 1435 similar matches shows a 32.1% probability for a home win with a positive ROI of 9.2%, supporting a fair odds estimate around 3.11. The model identifies a value edge of +5.2% and expected value of +17.7% on a home win at odds of 3.40, yet the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not fully met, so no bet is recommended now. This is a monitoring situation where the home win is the most promising option, but risk control advises waiting for clearer confirmation before placing a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 26