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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	4	-	-	2.42	2.25	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	-	-	1.62	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.6	4.75	1.17	1.25	2	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.6% | ROI +11.3% | n=497 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.5% | ROI +5.5% | n=497 | k=1.44

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.8% | ROI -9.8% | n=497 | k=1.52

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -6.3% | EV -15.3% | ROI +3.7% | n=497 | k=2.42

AI-agent: At 36 minutes, Strasbourg leads 1-0 against Toulouse in a closely contested Ligue 1 match. The market increasingly favors the home side, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current lead despite Toulouse's greater shot activity earlier. Historical data supports a bet on under 3.5 total goals, showing a 73% win rate and positive ROI, though the model's edge of +1.1% is below the threshold for placing a bet now. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 2.5 or 3.5 goals with moderate expected value, but no strong entry signal yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, considering the balanced game dynamics and current model confidence.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 36