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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	5	-	-	2.42	2.25	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	1.62	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.6	5.5	1.14	1.25	2.1	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.7	2.1	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.3% | ROI +9.5% | n=495 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.5% | ROI +4.1% | n=495 | k=1.36

3) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +3.7% | ROI -3.3% | n=495 | k=5.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.7% | ROI -7.5% | n=495 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At 41 minutes in the Strasbourg vs Toulouse match, Strasbourg leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Although Toulouse has been more active in shots, the recent phase shows Strasbourg applying pressure. Historical data supports betting under 3.5 goals with a 76.4% success rate and positive ROI, but the model's edge of +1.1% is below the threshold for placing a bet. The top markets suggest watching under 3.5 goals as the best option, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than a firm bet due to moderate expected value and risk control. Historical checks are reliable, but the situation calls for observation rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 41