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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	4	2	8	-	-	2.42	2.25	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	5	7	3	-	-	-	1.68	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5	1.73	3.6	1.25	2	1.17	-	-	-	-	1.98	1.88	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.0% | EV +45.7% | ROI +42.0% | n=356 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +1.9% | ROI +25.9% | n=356 | k=1.88

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +4.2% | EV +21.2% | ROI -24.2% | n=356 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.7% | EV -3.4% | ROI -38.8% | n=356 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At the 78th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market strongly supports a draw, with odds dropping 51% from pre-match levels considering the current score. The game has been balanced, though Toulouse has been more active in shots, while Strasbourg is applying pressure in the latest phase. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for the away handicap +1, with a 97.1% win rate and 42% ROI, confirming a fair value around 1.03. The model favors betting on AH_AWAY+1 with a 30% edge and 45.7% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest watching AH_AWAY+1 and under 2.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control recommended given the match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387985 | minute: 78