Match Replay

Step 19 of 67. Current minute: 27 .

Pause Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 19 of 67 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	2.1	1.65	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	2.2	1.7

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.04	17	29	1.01	1.02	13	-	-	-	-	1.06	10	1.33	3.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.0% | EV +31.4% | ROI +32.3% | n=31 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +31.1% | EV +65.3% | ROI +35.5% | n=31 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +1.2% | ROI +31.6% | n=31 | k=3.40

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -25.1% | EV -55.2% | ROI -52.9% | n=31 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At 27 minutes into the Dortmund vs Freiburg match, Dortmund leads 2-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 28% from pre-match levels reflecting their dominance. Dortmund confirms their advantage through shots and tempo, applying consistent pressure, while Freiburg is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data supports a bet on Dortmund with a -1 handicap, showing an 87% win rate and a 32.3% ROI over 31 similar matches. The model confirms this with a 19% edge and 31.4% expected value, though no new bet is opened as the position is already held. The top recommended bet is Dortmund -1 handicap at 1.65 odds, which offers good value but should be managed carefully within the portfolio. Other markets like -1.5 handicap and under 3.5 goals are watch-only, indicating monitoring rather than mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388579 | minute: 27