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Match Replay

Step 7 of 67. Current minute: 7 .
Germany | Bundesliga | Dortmund - Freiburg | 26.04.2026 | 20:30:00 | LIVE 7'   —   Dortmund 1:0 Freiburg
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 1.55 1.65 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 2.2 2.38
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.17 7.5 13 1.04 1.08 5 - - 1.04 13 1.22 4.33 1.73 2.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.9% | EV +84.6% | ROI +69.7% | n=611 | k=5.00
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.8% | ROI -53.2% | n=611 | k=1.65
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.7% | ROI +39.0% | n=611 | k=2.38
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -7.1% | EV -15.7% | ROI +57.3% | n=611 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At 7 minutes into the Dortmund vs Freiburg match, Dortmund leads 1-0, but the market is increasingly favoring the away side with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, shot data and tempo do not show clear dominance by either team, and the pace is slower than their last encounter. Historical data supports a double chance on Freiburg (X2) with a strong 64.6% win rate and a high ROI of 69.7%, indicating value at current odds of 5.00. However, the model has not triggered a bet due to current match conditions not fully meeting entry criteria. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised despite the attractive expected value and edge on the double chance market.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388579 | minute: 7