Match Replay

Step 9 of 67. Current minute: 12 .

Pause Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 9 of 67 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	1.55	1.65	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	2.2	2.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.17	7.5	13	1.04	1.08	5	-	-	1.04	13	1.22	4.33	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.9% | EV +84.6% | ROI +71.6% | n=102 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.5% | EV +2.4% | ROI -8.2% | n=102 | k=1.65

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.5% | EV -6.0% | ROI +42.0% | n=102 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.2% | ROI -1.2% | n=102 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the Dortmund vs Freiburg match, Dortmund leads 1-0 and maintains strong market support with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data for similar situations favors the double chance X2 (draw or Freiburg win) with a 34.3% probability and a solid ROI of 71.6%, confirmed by a reliable historical check. The model identifies an edge of +16.9% and an expected value of +84.6% on X2 at odds of 5.00, but the entry conditions based on current score and match dynamics are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase where the best option is to watch the X2 market closely, managing risk carefully given the positive but not fully confirmed signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388579 | minute: 12