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Germany | Bundesliga | Dortmund - Freiburg | 26.04.2026 | 20:30:00 | LIVE 87'   —   Dortmund 4:0 Freiburg
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 4 0 0 15 4 11 5 - 2.1 1.65 - - -
Away 0 0 0 5 2 3 0 - - - - 2.2 1.7
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.44 5 6.25 1.11 1.17 2.62 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +34.6% | EV +72.6% | ROI +110.0% | n=19 | k=2.10
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.6% | EV +35.6% | ROI +65.0% | n=19 | k=1.65
3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -20.3% | EV -53.3% | ROI -100.0% | n=19 | k=2.62
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -27.7% | EV -60.9% | ROI -100.0% | n=19 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At the 87th minute with Dortmund leading 4-0 against Freiburg, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Dortmund confirms their dominance in shots compared to previous encounters, while Freiburg is underperforming. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully validate the handicap -1.5 bet despite a perfect win record in a smaller sample. The model favors Dortmund -1.5 with a good edge and expected value, but the betting window for this market has closed after the 86th minute. Therefore, this is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the late stage of the match.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388579 | minute: 87