Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	17	6	11	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.88	1.21
Away	2	0	0	8	3	5	5	-	4.25	1.98	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
34	4.75	1.22	4	1.17	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.1	1.77

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.5% | EV +53.4% | ROI -80.9% | n=34 | k=1.88

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +6.6% | EV +26.3% | ROI -55.9% | n=34 | k=4.00

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.3% | ROI -1.2% | n=34 | k=1.77

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.2% | ROI -100.0% | n=34 | k=4.75

AI-agent: At 76 minutes, Leverkusen leads 2-1 against FC Koln, with the market increasingly favoring the away side as their odds dropped 36% from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, Koln has been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the recent phase, indicating the match is tighter than the score suggests. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI for home handicap +1.5, which means the model's candidate bet is not confirmed due to poor historical performance. The top-4 markets all recommend watching rather than betting, reflecting moderate edges but significant risk and negative ROI. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised given the current tempo and market signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388580 | minute: 76