Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	-	2.6	1.88
Away	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	1.98	1.48	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
9.5	5.5	1.3	3.4	1.14	1.06	-	-	1.05	11	1.28	3.75	1.88	1.98

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +12.3% | EV +41.8% | ROI +125.7% | n=428 | k=3.40

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.0% | EV +26.0% | ROI +94.4% | n=428 | k=2.60

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.6% | EV +14.2% | ROI +67.1% | n=428 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.3% | EV +4.4% | ROI +61.0% | n=428 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At 18 minutes into the Hamburg vs Hoffenheim match, Hoffenheim leads 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the visitors, reflected in a 21% drop in their odds since pre-match, although shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. The recent phase shows Hamburg pushing forward, and the scoreline aligns with a balanced game tempo, which is slower than their last encounter where Hamburg led 1-0 at this stage and won 4-1. Historical data supports a double chance on Hamburg (1X) with a 64.5% success rate and a strong ROI of +125.7%. The model indicates a positive edge (+12.3%) and expected value (+41.8%) for this bet, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest monitoring 1X and Asian Handicap +1 options, highlighting a watchful approach rather than a mandatory stake to control risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388581 | minute: 18