Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.7	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.1	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	4	1.67	2.1	1.22	1.2	1.02	19	1.14	5.5	1.44	2.75	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +15.2% | EV +65.9% | ROI +52.0% | n=633 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +14.5% | EV +30.4% | ROI +34.0% | n=633 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.1% | EV +13.8% | ROI +25.7% | n=633 | k=1.70

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.4% | ROI +14.0% | n=633 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 6 minutes into the Hamburg vs Hoffenheim match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market signals are neutral with no strong odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced pressure and no clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from 633 similar matches shows a 35.1% probability and a +52.0% ROI favoring a home win, supported by a fair odds estimate of 2.85. The model suggests a home win with a 15.2% edge and +65.9% expected value at odds of 4.33, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets recommend watching the home win and double chance 1X options with positive edges, while under 3.5 goals is not advised. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388581 | minute: 6