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Match Replay

Step 58 of 65. Current minute: 86 .
Germany | Bundesliga | Hamburg - Hoffenheim | 25.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 86'   —   Hamburg 1:2 Hoffenheim
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 8 3 5 4 - - - 3.1 2.25 1.17
Away 2 0 0 13 5 8 9 - 5 1.68 1.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 7 1.1 7 1.1 1 - - - - - - 2.9 1.43
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.2% | EV +76.8% | ROI +6.6% | n=53 | k=2.25
2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -1.7% | ROI -8.6% | n=53 | k=1.42
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -12.3% | EV -61.3% | ROI -15.1% | n=53 | k=5.00
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.3% | EV -64.2% | ROI -7.4% | n=53 | k=1.68
AI-agent: At the 86th minute, Hoffenheim leads Hamburg 2-1 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping by 33% from pre-match levels, reflecting Hoffenheim's shot dominance and overall match control. Historical data supports a handicap bet on Hamburg +1 with a positive ROI of 6.6%, but the model has not triggered a full entry due to current match dynamics. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, suggesting caution despite the promising edge. No bets are advised on other markets given negative expected values.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388581 | minute: 86