Match Replay

Step 17 of 53. Current minute: 27 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	2.75	2.05	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	2.15	1.8	1.43

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	4	6.5	1.11	1.22	2.38	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.0% | ROI -6.5% | n=475 | k=2.38

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.5% | EV -4.5% | ROI -0.8% | n=475 | k=1.80

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.7% | ROI -5.5% | n=475 | k=2.05

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.4% | EV -8.2% | ROI -5.0% | n=475 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 27 minutes into the Heidenheim vs St Pauli match, Heidenheim leads 1-0 with no red cards. The market favors the home side, reflected by a 30% drop in odds from pre-match levels, matching the current scoreline. Although Heidenheim shows more shot activity, there is no sustained pressure from either team recently, and the tempo is slower than their last encounter. Historical data on similar situations indicates a slight edge for an away win with a 16.2% probability and a 5.4% ROI, but the model’s edge at +1.7% is below the threshold for placing a bet. Top-4 market indicators also suggest no value bets currently. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 27