Match Replay

Step 38 of 53. Current minute: 61 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	3	4	2	-	3	2.3	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	-	2.15	1.6	1.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.44	3.75	9.5	1.06	1.25	2.62	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.8% | EV +14.9% | ROI +3.8% | n=388 | k=1.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.4% | EV +8.6% | ROI -5.3% | n=388 | k=1.60

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -5.2% | ROI -3.0% | n=388 | k=2.85

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -3.8% | ROI +5.4% | n=388 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 61 minutes in the Heidenheim vs St Pauli match, Heidenheim leads 1-0 but the game shows no clear dominance. Market pressure favors the home side with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels, yet shot data does not confirm a strong advantage. Historical data supports a bet on the away handicap +1.5 with a 75.5% win rate and positive ROI of 3.8%. The model confirms this with an edge of +10.8% and expected value of +14.9%, though no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. This is a solid candidate for betting with risk control, while other markets suggest watching or no bet due to lower expected value or negative edge.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 61